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International Journal Of Horticulture, Agriculture And Food Science(IJHAF)

Long Run Analysis of the Carrying Capacity of Agricultural Land for Cereal Production under Population Pressure in Nigeria (1980-2015)

Achoja Felix Odemero , Omani Lynda Amarachi

International Journal of Horticulture, Agriculture and Food science(IJHAF), Vol-2,Issue-1, January - February 2018, Pages 1-12, 10.22161/ijhaf.1.4.6

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This study examines the long run response of Agricultural land use indices to population growth in Nigeria. The study made use of 35 year time series data collected from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) annual reports, FAOSTAT and World Bank Statistical reports (1980-2015). Collected data were analysed using descriptive and inferential statistical tools. The result shows that agricultural land productivity in terms of cereal (rice, sorghum, millet & maize) yield exhibited a negative and significant response to population growth rate. Agricultural land use intensity showed a positive and significant response to population growth ratein Nigeria. Agricultural value added to GDP demonstrated a negative and significant response to population growth rate. Population growth and cereal yield yearly forecasts were 8.9% and 7.5% respectively.The study provided sufficient empirical evidence on relatively weak capacity of agricultural land to cereal productivity under population pressure and the need for policy on land enhancement technologies in Nigeria.

Long Run, Agricultural Land, Use Indices, Population Growth, Nigeria.

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